2008 was known for the Great Bush recession.
2025 will be known for the Great MuskRat Depression that Trumped all other depressions.
This time though the U.S. will feel the brunt
Great Bush recession
I’ve literally never heard it called that, is this a non-US term? I’ve heard “great financial crisis”, “great recession”, or “housing crash” before.
I just call it what it is. All those you say are attributed to the president’s policies.
So maybe I’m also calling that too.
I’ve heard the Bush recession a few. I’ve also heard it called the Obama recession from some obvious bootlickers trying to rewrite history but that don’t make sense since Obama administration reversed it.
Nuclear war
Ayyye same, do you think it’ll start with Israel and Iran too?
Israel, Iran, Pakistan, the USA, there’s many ways this could go
Peak human population will occur within the next ten years. Previously this was driven by falling birth rates. Now it will be driven by rapidly rising death rates. Within the next ten years, I think 300 million - 1 billion dead from starvation due to bread basket collapse is a conservative estimate.
Could have just said the knicks will win the world series and left it at that, jesus
Look, I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but don’t kill the messenger. The media does a piss-poor job of really nailing home to people the short and medium term impacts of climate change.
Did you know that in the last 15 years, global farm yields per acre have been flat? This is despite miraculous improvements in farming technology. Genetic engineering, farm automation, finance markets extending industrial agriculture to underdeveloped countries, satellite planning, innumerable tools and techniques.
Our global average farm yield per hectare should be soaring. Instead, it’s been flat. We’re swimming against the current, above a giant waterfall. All our advancements in farming technology are going into keeping us one step ahead of mass famine.
It’s been projected by insurance industry studies that if we hit +3C above preindustrial levels, that would correspond to a halving of the global human population. And with how fast climate change is accelerating beyond our previous overly conservative models, that could easily happen by 2050.
Again, the media has done an absolute shit job of explaining the perils of climate change to people. You think grocery prices are bad now? You haven’t seen ANYTHING. This is NOTHING compared to what is coming. The real danger of climate change isn’t slow sea rise or even wildfires. The real danger is the fact that at any given time, the planet only has a few weeks of food reserves stored up. We need to continuously make enough food to feed 8 billion humans. And if climate change causes multiple simultaneous bread basket failures? If we don’t make enough food for 8 billion humans? Well, quite quickly we will not have 8 billion humans anymore.
If you really want to understand the magnitude of the climate catastrophe, I suggest conceptualizing it in terms of wars. All of the fervent efforts in government and the private sector are trying to address climate change? All of them are trying to constrain the casaulties over the next few decades, to merely WW2-level casualties. We’re already going to face that; that’s already locked in. We’ve already guaranteed a loss of life on the scale of the Second World War. We’re trying to keep the casualties from spiraling up to “global thermonuclear war” levels of destruction.
Because the climate is becoming hotter, wetter, and highly unpredictable.
And we grow our food outside.
I think you might be missing something. If food yields were soaring that would decrease the market value of food. The current agriculture system is designed with profit as the goal and feeding people as a secondary result.
Is a supply chain inefficient? In the current system that’s alright, it lets a company charge more to make up for losses and gives them something tangible to justify price hikes.
There’s also massive surplus waste and other problems that are prevalent in the current system. Growing to feed local populations rather than growing for export would drastically shift the situation alone and is currently entirely possible, but not nearly as profitable.
Can we get enough food for everyone? Yes. Can we do it while maintaining record high margins? Probably not
There isn’t some vast array of technologies that exists but that we’re holding back from employing. We’re employing everything. Are there inefficiencies and manipulations from a capitalist system? Yes. But that has been the case for generations. Food yields per acre were increasing quite regularly for decades prior to 15 years ago or so. This is a relatively new phenomenon. And even in the greediest of corporate systems there’s pressure to develop as efficient a supply chain as possible, and to make use of available land as profitably as possible. Ruthless profit seeking could decrease the total number of acres under production, but it shouldn’t restrain the productivity per acre. Land doesn’t come cheap.
We will have The Year of Linux Desktop 3: Libre Boogaloo
Third one’s the charm!
I’ve flirted with Linux off and on for 20 years, but MS forcing everyone to Win 11, stuffed with spyware, is the end of the road for me. Now on Linux full time. Linux isn’t about to take over the desktop, but I can see Windows shedding a couple million users a year as enshittification continues.
America will suffer a depression and become more isolationist which will allow the depression to continue unabated. Millions die of starvation and exposure.
Nostradamus over here. How did you manage to scrap that conclusion together? No one could possibly predict that outcome.
That’s Nostradumbass to you.
🫡
Millions die of starvation and exposure and preventable disease.
Yes, and as someone with a pricey cancer treatment at the moment which I can only afford due to Medicaid, there is a very good chance I will be one of them.
Fuck cancer, I hope you kick the shit out of it!
You and I don’t always see eye to eye on some issues, but I hope you know that I am always wishing you well and strength in your continuing battle. This internet rando wants you to be around and be here for decades to come. I’m pulling for you.
🫂
Covid called
Russia will own Alaska.
China will take over Taiwan and Japan.
N.Korea will take over S.Korea.
That’s the most obvious insanity caused by Trump love for Putin. Global borders will fall everywhere.
North Korea taking over South Korea sounds as absurd to me as Jamaica taking over the US.
The closest to “taking over” SK would be if they started dropping nukes and didn’t actually want the land/resources/businesses/money and also didn’t care about retaliation from allies…
You think SK and allies will be able to stop an Army of NK, China, and Russia?
I don’t. Allies won’t use nukes to stop it.
That would really be China taking over Korea, then. That’s not North Korea taking over
True. I should’ve specified NK & allies taking over SK.
Ameriscum here. Trump starts a war to create plausibility for holding on to executive power past current term limits. Which has happened in American history. Not the starting part as an ends to a means though. I’m scared.
This one is the most probable of all the replies. Mostly because Trump has been following Putin’s playback.
Albeit it might not be a full on conflict with a new nation but just a significant escalation i.e. Taiwan and China.
…When in American history did a president start a war in order to serve more than two terms?
45 men have served as President of the United States, two of them non-consecutively. The only one of them to serve more than two full terms was Franklin Delano Roosevelt from 1933 to 1945, being elected four times and dying in office. At the time, no term limits for President existed, and World War 2 was certainly not started by the United States.
OP’s probably thinking about Vietnam and Nixon. And Johnson.
War on Terror lies got Bush 2 reelected. That and the corrupt government of Florida plus the corrupt supreme Court.
FDR was probably the greatest president we’ve ever had.
Last sentence being: “not the starting the war part”
I was referring exactly to Roosevelt and didn’t realize the term limit for presidents didn’t exist then.
Again, I specifically said that about not starting a war but holding office indefinitely while a war was ongoing. Don’t know how to quote on mobile but, again, last sentence of original post.
Sorry just bad at words. And history apparently.
Yeah…FDR won the elections of 1932, 1936, 1940, and 1944. The United States entered World War 2 on December 7, 1941 with Japan’s near simultaneous declaration of war and attack on Pearl Harbor, with Germany following suit shortly thereafter.
We’re talking about Franklin “New Deal” Roosevelt here, widely popular for his pro-labor stance and his “fireside chat” radio addresses. All four of his elections he carried a comfortable lead in the popular vote of 55 to 60% and won four landslides in the electoral college, in one case carrying all but two states. He really didn’t need the war as a pretext for remaining in office for what would turn out to be the last 4 months of his life.
But, “America bad,” right? So lying about history is okay.
I missed context on term limits and their timing with the war. I wasn’t even that far off. I never said america was bad and I didn’t lie towards making a prediction. As I welcomed your information.
But thanks for reminding me, never interact with the Internet.
I bet your kids call you captain_asshole
2003 called. It wants it’s bingo space back.
Things get “Wild in the Streets” and the voting age is lowered to 15. Everybody over 30 is put into retirement camps and fed LSD all day.
" Dinosauria We" by Charles Bukowski
He nailed it.
The surveillance of chats and the prohibition of encryption in many Western countries must have a purpose. It mostly makes sense if democracy is dismantled.
Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily, my prediction is that the West is willing to fight a nuclear war to preserve its lead which cannot happen in a democracy.
Without that war, Asia will take over as the center of commerce and innovation. The brightest will move there, which means that the remaining people in the West have to be innovative without the main ingredience for innovation.
If China escalates to cause war in Asia when other countries are sufficiently pissed off by them trying to steal territory and harass others non-stop, then that plus a potential Chinese real estate market collapse could cause pretty serious problems in the region.
I’ll go with Hanlon’s razor there. The cops and politicians don’t really understand the magic boxes, let alone the game theory of adversarial uses layered on top of them. People use the boxes for bad things, they say just add a way to stop them, EZ.
Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily
Which resources? The “only” tangible advantage the West actually has is strong institutions, and to a much lesser degree momentum. The science behind the technology is free for anyone to learn - even in excruciating detail if you go looking - and natural resources are actually less depleted in poor countries at this point.
That advantage could have been given up and shared. Instead it is defended, even with military power. Why fight those wars now and make enemies?
That advantage could have been given up and shared.
Strong institutions cannot be put in a crate and shipped overseas, no.
Countries like Japan, Singapore and South Korea slowly built their own, and are also developed now. Most poor countries just haven’t managed it yet for one reason or another.
That other reason, too often it’s Western intervention.
As a consequence, I believe that there won’t be a peaceful transition into a multipolar world, because that could have already happened.
The today’s “brave new world” will start turning into Orwellian Big Brother society. It’s already happening. Of course neither option is great but I prefer drugs, orgies and idiots to surveillance, absolute police state and slaves/prisoners.
It’s inadvisable to think about people being after you, “how would I hide,” etc…but if you give it a thought or two, you might realize it would already be very, very, very difficult to escape nearly omnipresent surveillance. You just need to put one or two headlines together…
“Google Tracking Your Phone Even Before You Open App/Potentially Even When Phone is Off”
“DOGE Has Gained Access to Americans’ Private Data”
Etc… We let it sneak up on us and we’re going to find it’s seemingly all there at once.
In Finland the Police has been demanding full access to fingerprints originally gathered for passports and IDs (of around three million citizens) which means that the police could use them for other than their intended purposes. AND it looks like the police is finally going to have their way in this matter. This is how a police state is build, one step at a time until it’s too late to complain.
Yeah, and after the last two Independece days I really don’t trust cops much.
In the US the cops come by schools and fingerprint every kid when they’re about 10 years old. They did it thirty years ago to me and they still do it today.
Since I’m not feeling very optimistic, and given that everything I predicted today was the exact opposite, I’ll say this.
- Campi Flegrei explodes, creating a noise louder than Krakatoa.
- Santorini sinks into the ocean.
- Nuclear war.
- Groundwater runs out all over the world.
- A massive solar emission hits earth, throwing us back into the Stone Age.
Doing my duty, to protect the world by predicting things, so the exact opposite happens 🍺.
Just to cover all the bases, some extra points.
- AI superintelligence is evil.
- A gamma-ray burst hits earth.
- Aliens are evil.
- Vacuum decay is possible and something accidentally triggers it.
- Nobody likes me romantically.
Well you probably aren’t actually meeting new people so low chance of finding love
GTA6 will almost be complete
Planning to come out the same day as The Elder Scrolls VI does.
At least five new countries acquire nuclear weapons.
Traumatized Ukrainian “terrorists”.
You’ve fought s brutal war only to be sold out by your allies. Do you really just go home?
Most will. But a few will take the fight into Russian territory and use insurgent tactics.
The media will call them terrorists.
