• RoboRay@kbin.social
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    10 months ago

    Didn’t they find parts from an Electra in the surf on the edge of a South Pacific atoll several years ago, with no other Electra ever reported lost in the area, and signs of decades old brief human habitation on the island?

      • Blackbeard@lemmy.worldM
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        10 months ago

        No, it said, “Gillespie’s organization, the International Group for Historic Aircraft Recovery, has also claimed that it found forensic evidence, including bones on the island, that were likely Earhart’s.” That’s an entirely different group than Deep Sea Vision, who conducted the deep sea exploration that’s highlighted by the article.

        And the study that made the claim back in 2018 said the bones, “have more similarity to Earhart than to 99 percent of individuals in a large reference sample.” That was based on documented measurements of the bones, rather than the bones themselves, which have long since been lost. “Most certainly”, in this case, should be taken with a huge grain of salt.

        • RedditWanderer@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          I don’t know why you bothered writing all that. The dude asked if there would be bones left, and the video says bones might be hers.

          Which means yes it’s possible for bones to potentially still be there. Doesn’t matter if it’s her bones or who says so, you missed the point.

          • Tarquinn2049@lemmy.world
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            10 months ago

            You missed again that the bones aren’t in the plane. Those bones were found in a place where bones could still be after this amount of time, not in the water.

            They wrote “all that” because it included details important to read rather than skip over.

            • RedditWanderer@lemmy.world
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              10 months ago

              No mention of water or planes in the comment thread I replied to. We don’t know she died at the bottom of the ocean in a plane. There could be bones, as stated in the video.

              • Tarquinn2049@lemmy.world
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                10 months ago

                Ok, at least that explains what you are saying. The comment however was made on an article about potentially finding the plane, leading to the unneeded explanation that they are indeed referencing the plane when asking if there could still be bodies… not just in general.

          • Blackbeard@lemmy.worldM
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            10 months ago

            It is quite literally impossible for bones to survive 87 years at the bottom of the ocean. The commenter said:

            could there still be signs of bodies after all this time? like bones?

            The answer is an unequivocal “no.” Even the ones from Nikumaroro which were referenced in the video which you quoted, disappeared decades ago. There could absolutely, positively not be bones at this site, because bones at the bottom of the ocean are completely broken down within a few years. I responded with detail because you were clearly mistaken.

    • thehatfox@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      Unlikely after this long. Sea creatures and the sea water itself will eventually consume and break down nearly every part of a body, including bones.

      One thing that might still survive is leather clothing. Many leather items such as shoes have been found at the Titanic wreck site.

  • Chainweasel@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    That’s only about 25% deeper than the Titanic.
    I can’t wait for more billionaires to fuck around with the ocean and find out.

  • Queen HawlSera@lemm.ee
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    9 months ago

    Can they just fine the plan so bad sci-fi writers can stop doing “Akshaully she was transported to the future and had sex with Jack Harkness and then she met Janeway!111”

    Sorry “Over-the-top Sci-Fi answer for mundane mystery” is just… cringe bro

  • AllonzeeLV@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    That’s deeper than the Titanic! 12,500 vs 16,000 feet.

    Can we send Jeffrey Bezos or Elon Musk down in a submarine to comfirm?

        • Evil_Shrubbery@lemm.ee
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          10 months ago

          I mean, only kinda, it’s just closer to round, but ultimately it’s about convention and practical use (eg with human age we round down, or even if eg someone was running “a 4.9k” and stopped some 20m before the finish line).

          It’s def not a mistake, either of the figures. But I do like when people point such things to me (genuinely, it’s engagement).

  • jordanlund@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    Definitely looks like AN airplane, whether or not it’s THE airplane, I guess we’ll find out in a few years.

    Hope they send a drone down first.

    • Deadrek@lemmy.today
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      10 months ago

      Always send a drone first, D-class second, MTF third, and lastly a second MTF to rescue the first MTF.

      • hex_m_hell@slrpnk.net
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        9 months ago

        We need to send at least two. You can’t just trust the words of one billionaire. We should probably send at least 3 just to be on the safe side.

      • RGB3x3@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        Elon Musk, if you happen to read this, I believe you’re the only one that can go down there. You’re so brave and amazing, nobody else could handle such pressures.

        I’d bet you could even go down there alone and do excellent work. We all believe in you. Go. Seriously, do it.

        • hex_m_hell@slrpnk.net
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          9 months ago

          Agreed! What we find down there could save humanity, and, honestly, no one else is really brave enough or smart enough to do it.

  • athos77@kbin.social
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    10 months ago

    I’m copying my comment from the other thread:

    I listened to an interview with the owner of the company on the radio this morning. He’s a commercial real estate investor who sold everything near the start of the pandemic (smart). He then decided to form an ocean exploration company to search for things like lost planes and ships and such. He chose this as his very first search because he was curious, but also because he wanted to generate publicity for his company. They set up a 90-day search mission and were filming it for a documentary. And they found the object on literally the very last day of the search. They say it could be the plane, but that it could also just be a group of rocks in the shape of a plane. He’s already gotten one [person? company?] to hire him to look for another lost item underwater and had other inquiries.

    Honestly? I don’t think it’s the plane, just a guy drumming up publicity for his new business, especially since it’s in a field that he’s not established in. They’re going to go back and either not be able to find that image again, or it’ll turn out to be a bunch of rocks. Possibly even a bunch of rocks they spotted earlier and came back to in the last day with the idea of “eh, close enough” for publicity purposes. As for the image? Remember this?

    • ripcord@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      Ah yes, the Face On Mars

      And just below it, the Dugong of Mars. Proof of sentient dugongs on the red planet

    • peopleproblems@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      One of the reasons my ex hated me is because I was skeptical about everything.

      But in today’s modern age, everyone’s a grifter and I have yet to see video or photos of something clearly a ghost or ET.

      Amelia Earharts wreck has been sought for so long, and has had many false positives. Since there is the smallest wiff of a grift here, I think we can safely say, yeah I’ll believe when it’s recovered.

      • theangryseal@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        My ex hated that about me too. She absolutely despised it. When we got together I thought she was like that too, but she was mirroring my attitudes about things.

        By the end she was saying “law of attraction” and reading tarot cards.

    • Xcf456@lemmy.nz
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      10 months ago

      it could also just be a group of rocks in the shape of a plane

      This whole search was as useless as those plane shaped rocks. Wait a minute… There’s a plane behind those rocks!

  • ReallyKinda@kbin.social
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    10 months ago

    I watched a documentary on Amelia recently and her sister was like (paraphrasing) “Amelia would have been so mad they’ve wasted this much money looking for her body, pilots died all the time back then.”

    One thing I’d forgotten was that she had another person with her during that last flight—her navigator

  • derf82@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    They’ve “found” her plane several times. I remember 5 years ago it was found near Papua New Guinea. Before that, people found a fragment and bones on an atoll. Before that, people claimed she was pictured with Noonan in some Japanese photos.

  • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    That sonar image is very compelling, but I’m no expert in such things and claims about Earhart’s plane, or at least wreckage from it, being discovered have been made before.

    • Nougat@kbin.social
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      10 months ago

      It’s clear that it’s a plane, and I’m sure they’ve compared the size of the sonar image to the size of an Electra. To say that it could be Earhart’s plane must mean that the size of the sonar image doesn’t exclude that plane.

      Then the question becomes “Which other plane could it be, for the size and shape, and for where it is?” Now, obviously it’s a wreck, and it’s been at the bottom of the ocean for a long time, but based on that sonar, it looks pretty intact. That suggests that whatever plane it is was ditched in the ocean relatively intact, as opposed to suffering a catastrophic impact. Just based on the sonar, though, those wings look to be swept back more than an Electra’s are.

      Electra is a bit over 38 feet long. A MiG-15 is 36 feet long, and an F-86 Sabre is 37 feet. Both seem to match that wing sweep more accurately, though I have no idea if either of those aircraft were ever lost in the area of Howland Island.

      • Blackbeard@lemmy.worldM
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        10 months ago

        If it’s true that the bones found on Gardner Island “are almost certainly” from Earhart and/or Noonan, I find it highly unlikely that they could have landed at Gardner, and then the plane be swept all the way from there to Howland, while remaining so intact the whole way.

        Keep in mind that the scientists who claim the bones are hers simply performed updated forensic osteology methods against the bone measurements and body measurements extrapolated from physical records and photographs. They said:

        The bones are consistent with Earhart in all respects we know or can reasonably infer. Her height is entirely consistent with the bones. The skull measurements are at least suggestive of female. But most convincing is the similarity of the bone lengths to the reconstructed lengths of Earhart’s bones. Likelihood ratios of 84–154 would not qualify as a positive identification by the criteria of modern forensic practice, where likelihood ratios are often millions or more. They do qualify as what is often called the preponderance of the evidence, that is, it is more likely than not the Nikumaroro bones were (or are, if they still exist) those of Amelia Earhart. If the bones do not belong to Amelia Earhart, then they are from someone very similar to her. And, as we have seen, a random individual has a very low probability of possessing that degree of similarity.

        This is certainly a good estimate, and the methodology tracks, but a) the actual bones cannot be measured/studied further, b) it’s possible the bones were from a female of her same size, c) no other corroborating evidence is possible. They did a DNA analysis of some bones they found in the Tarawa archives in 2019(ish) which they thought might be the long lost bones, but tests concluded that they were not. So in this case I think it’s safe to say these bones have a high probability of being hers, but not to extrapolate that because those bones were hers, other theories must be ruled out. It’s suggestive that the bones were hers, but not proof that any other hypothesis should be confirmed or rejected.