(Disclaimer: I voted against Trump and anyone who supported him in my state.)

  • rsuri@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    We should remember that most Americans still live in blue states with sane governments. The federal government can’t just barge in and do whatever it wants, and if tries to do so, the social contract that binds the nation together is broken and secession becomes a real possibility. But that’s unlikely because Trump is far too clueless to know about any of the problems he’ll run into if he tries to implement any of his plans.

    Which is fine for him because it was always a con anyway. He talks and acts out of his ass. What he will do is anyone’s guess, but it’ll at least be restrained by what’s realistically possible.

    • stalfoss@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      My so called blue state of California just voted against minimum wage increase, against rent control, against banning slavery, and for increasing the war on drugs. At least this time we narrowly voted to approve gay marriage (unlike last time where we banned it)

    • Prehensile_cloaca @lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      The Federal government CAN just barge in. We specifically designed the structure that way. Federal supercedes state.

    • Dkarma@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      He will absolutely move the military into a blue state to force compliance. This is how the next civil war will start. Red Force and blue resistance.

    • yessikg@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      8 months ago

      Federal laws trump state laws every time, those blue states will be just as shit as the red states in no time

      • EndlessNightmare@reddthat.com
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        8 months ago

        Support from local and state governments does make a difference though. While federal agencies can still enforce these laws, local/state agencies could look the other way. Cannabis is still federally illegal, but some states have basically said “no thanks, we’re good as long as you stick to our rules on it.”

        It comes down to how much state governments want to go to bat for their constituencies and how much the federal government wants to press the issue. All else being equal, I’d rather be in a state that stands up for my rights than one that doesn’t.

    • DeLacue@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I’d love be as optimistic as you but unless Trump changes his mind the US will get a brainwormed fanatical anti-vaccier in charge of deciding which vaccines are safe to use. Even if the states don’t cooperate with trump’s agenda there are so many long standing federal institutions which till now you’ve never needed to think about that are about to get wrecked.

    • Lenny@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      And what about the ones, like me, in red states? How fucked are we? (I know the answer and hence drunk and high rn)

  • prime_number_314159@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Trump was pretty ineffective in his first term, largely because he did a terrible job of supporting people who really agreed with his agenda, and an even worse job of removing people from influential positions who didn’t.

    He said during his campaign that he knew much better who to trust, but now he’s got Elon Musk and RFK Jr. prominently featured. I don’t think he has learned anything, and I think he will be just as ineffective this time.

    It’s possible that some of the Republicans in Congress will support more of his agenda, but even there if they have to overcome the filibuster, I don’t think mass deportation, a federal abortion ban, or most of the rest of the potential worst of it is in the cards.

    • boonhet@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      I reckon that in all likelihood the Project 2025 folks will piss him off at some point and he’ll just throw a tantrum and refuse to work with them. Doesn’t mean he’ll suddenly turn into a leftist, but if he doesn’t play ball, they’ll have trouble getting anything passed.

    • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      The first year will be him living off Bidens reduction of inflation. EVERY policy Trump has discussed increases prices. So we will have hyper inflation.

      Name One policy he has discussed that will cut costs in his 4 years please.

      • Angrywaffle2@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Well he’s going to try to lower energy prices and cut taxes on paychecks as much as possible plus cut taxes on social security. So that’s multiple things in one little sentence lol

        • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          The lowest energy costs are in solar and renewables, which he has promised to slash all investments that Biden put into place for those. So energy costs would go up long term…not down. Also the impact on the environment will be more for fossil fuels so it will cost more to clean up long term. (more expensive, not cheaper)

          As for cutting taxes on Social Security, what is it going to do? He’s also mentioned cut backs to social security, but we haven’t seen any numbers for it, so we don’t know yet. We do know Obama tried to up the the salary limit for minimum wage for overtime requirements from 23,000 to over 47k but the courts blocked it. Then Trump set it at 35k. Biden has upped it to 55,000. Trump has said he wants to bring that back down. You know, because all those hard working Americans who make 40k a year don’t deserve to make overtime I guess.

  • Coreidan@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Let’s be real we are fucked no matter who the president is. With or without him the world is headed down the toilet.

    • Birch@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      There was a slim sliver of hope left that we might reduce the acceleration towards the planet becoming largely uninhabitable for most people, but that is gone now, many of the brakes we had before are about to come off

  • Sam_Bass@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    depends on how much of his immunity he chooses to exercise. also be intrtesting to see how many of the new repuglicans fall into line with his shit policy

    • Lemminary@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      If push comes to sobre shove, I sincerely invite you to look at Mexico as an alternative as a trans Latina. Sure, your life won’t be a luxury, but you’ll be happy and free. You’d be surprised at how well we’re doing now, how accepting the Mexican population is regarding important LGBT+ issues and what a bright future we have ahead of us.

    • stoly@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      If you’re in a blue state you will be much safer. If you’re not, see if you can relocate to one even if that means you sleep on someone’s couch for a while. I wish you the best.

      • Wes4Humanity@lemm.ee
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        8 months ago

        Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine are desperate for people to move there… And the Canadian border is right there just in case

        • finitebanjo@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          Canadian Immigration is pretty full up at the moment, might take a while to process unless the person heads there and claims asylum once in.

      • Pika@sh.itjust.works
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        8 months ago

        keep in mind this opinion also promises that it can’t be fixed, as the more blue voters that leave the red leaning states the more power those red leaning states have. Moving to a blue leaning state only removes the blue votes from the red leaning state in favor of increasing the power of an already blue state.

        Of course if he somehow manages to find a way to do away with the election process this would be true, but currently the best bet overall is going to be stay in your state, honestly if you can lower solid blue districts in favor of saturating red districts that’s the best option but that’s a difficult task.

        Our system does not operate under popular vote. It runs off the electoral college, its the main reason red states want to gerrymander the district lines to make all black areas be their own district, its less damage if every opponent is in the same district as it allows only one district to be in opposition instead of multiple.

        • NielsBohron@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          That’s all well and good, but are you really suggesting that trans people who are fearing for their lives should stay put to help the electoral college issues four years from now?

          • Pika@sh.itjust.works
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            8 months ago

            that’s a sticky question, there’s no perfect answer sadly.

            the solution of moving to a blue state is a good short term fix. However it won’t survive a long-term exposure. Eventually the federal level laws will outlaw the state level laws regarding it and their protections in the blue state won’t help them anymore. When that happens the only outcome is all red laws. We are already seeing that with him claiming that he’s going to outlaw abortion period on the federal level, which will overrule state level, an act that currently I believe would make it through the proper channels to actually get implemented as the red party currently holds half (if not all) the legislative, the entire executive, and despite it not being supposed to be possible, the judicial branches.

            In a perfect world, due to everyone dispersing into the red districts, it would saturate the polls in those districts, requiring district remaps via gerrymandering to win. Unless there truly is more red voters then blue, in which case there is no solution to this problem while remaining in the US, the only valid option is either a second civil war, or moving to another country and hoping that it doesn’t spread. Neither options are ideal.

            • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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              8 months ago

              Are you for real trying to ivory tower armchair general a person who now fears for their life due to the overt threats of the candidate who just won the fucking presidency? Hold on- let me get you a ladder so you can try to climb down out of your own asshole.

            • lemonmelon@lemmy.world
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              8 months ago

              that’s a sticky question,

              No, the banshee-wailing fuck it isn’t!

              If someone truly believes they are in fucking danger, they need to remove themselves from the danger first and foremost, before any consideration of “but what about next election?”

    • Lets_Eat_Grandma@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      I hate that i’m saying this, but Canada or somewhere in the EU are probably your best bets. If Project 2025 goes according to plan we’re going to see a great upheaval come Q1 2025 that probably clusterfucks everything.

      Long term with christian school mandates via defunding education and funding vouchers will further create a hostile nation for anyone who does not conform to a heterosexual white nationalist christian identity.

      • I_Has_A_Hat@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Due to the influx and rapid spread of Islam, I wouldnt count on most EU countries remaining safe for LGBT people indefinitely.

      • Snot Flickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        8 months ago

        Maybe not a great idea for some individuals to advertise their escape plans in open channels online?

        Honestly, the internet doesn’t feel “safe” anymore, in general. I’ve already stopped myself saying certain things a few times in the last 24 hours.

        “Great Firewall of China” style internet incoming.

        • hendrik@palaver.p3x.de
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          8 months ago

          If it’s a good escape plan you might help someone. I mean as long as it doesn’t require concealment to succeed. And I guess a lot of plans like “find a job abroad” don’t really need to be kept secret.

        • deafboy@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          Sure, advertising your secret plans in public might not be the best idea, regardles of the medium.

          From the technical standpoint, internet has never been more secure and private. The amount of plaintext shit that was literally flying over the air just a decade ago was terrifying.

  • LordCrom@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Before, his power was checked by legislature…but now GOP has full control over the gov, and the supreme Court has 5 members nominated by Trump, soon to be 7.

    Hand maidens tale seems possible. Destruction of the middle class through tariffs, union busting, tear down of heath coverage, teardown public schools, force colleges to abandon certain studies or no federal money…

    Add in non stop fossil fuel promotion with drill baby drill attitudes, tear down NOAA and the nhc because strong hurricane news reinforces climate change.

    I guarantee in 4 years Trump will try to name a successor instead of holding an election.

    • Asafum@feddit.nl
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      8 months ago

      tear down NOAA

      Fuuuccckkkk… Add to the list of things I forgot… The AccuWeather guy is about to become even more wealthy…

      The billionaire class are the only winners of this election, but then again when aren’t they the winner? Money is literally power.

    • AmidFuror@fedia.io
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      8 months ago

      Trump had a Republican majority in the House and Senate when he entered office in 2017. They were incompetent, and it took them a while to get anything done.

    • Kyrgizion@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Wanna bet he’ll put up one of his kids (hell perhaps even Barron?) and bend the whole sycophantic side of the GOP into endlesdly propping them up?

      In 4 years, you may simply get Trump III. I want to say this notion seems absurd, except that it absolutely isn’t.

    • AndrewZabar@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I guarantee in 4 years Trump will try to name a successor instead of holding an election.

      No. He will not name a successor, he will remain president. Either he will eliminate elections or he will do like his idol, Putin. Arrest and murder anyone who dares oppose him.

      He is an extreme narcissist and egotist. Like extreme extreme. He cannot see a future where he’s not on the throne.

    • Anticorp@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Add in non stop fossil fuel promotion with drill baby drill attitudes

      Do you remember a few years ago when the orange idiot hugged a piece of coal and called it “beautiful clean coal”? Ugh, what a dip shit.

      I guarantee in 4 years Trump will try to name a successor instead of holding an election.

      And it’ll certainly be one of his moronic children.

    • Snot Flickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      8 months ago

      in 4 years Trump will try to name a successor

      That would require the narcissist to not think he’s still young and vibrant and will never die. He will go the same way his father did, being manipulated by the worst around him as he drifts into dementia. He will be propped up as a puppet as Reagan was.

      • Atherel@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        8 months ago

        He will go the same way his father did, being manipulated by the worst around him as he drifts into dementia. He will be propped up as a puppet as Reagan was.

        I’m quite sure that this is already the case.

      • Evil_incarnate@lemm.ee
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        8 months ago

        He could postpone the election if America is at war.

        “We have always been at war with Eastasia”

      • boydster@sh.itjust.works
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        8 months ago

        Here’s a horrifying thought: JD’s Silicon Valley puppetmasters wait until Trump has served just over 2 years into his term, then invoke the 25th and install JD. In the meantime, the MAGA types work the system to ensure they can guarantee a Vance victory through whatever means necessary for the next 2 cycles (since his first abbreviated session won’t count as an official term), or a total of 10 years, before most Americans even realize we have sleepwalked into a Vance dictatorship funded by and primarily benefiting oligarchs like Musk and Thiel

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Goddamnitalltohell. I forgot we’re going to have to subscribe to private disaster warning systems. That’s pretty much it in a nutshell. Perfectly describes everything they want to do.

  • schnurrito@discuss.tchncs.de
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    8 months ago

    Realistically… what do you expect to be radically different this time in comparison to the four years Trump has already been president?

    • Empricorn@feddit.nl
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      8 months ago

      Project 2025. Complete control of all branches of government. A Supreme Court that says he can do whatever he wants. I’m sorry to be pessimistic, but we’re absolutely fucked.

        • athairmor@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          He had pretty much that his first two years. Maybe not the judicial branch, totally. But, he had both chambers of congress. They could have done a lot but didn’t because of incompetence, a little dissent and fear of electoral reprisals.

          Now, they’re more organized and possibly more unified behind the rat-fucking that’s planned.

          If they move too fast they’ll lose the House in two years. If they slow boil, we’ll all be cooked before we know it.

    • halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      They’re organized, have begun implementing the government takeover that they’ve worked towards since Reagan, and he’s officially been given immunity for anything he wants to do by the Supreme Court before entering office.

      All of these plans have nothing to do with Trump, they’ve been being laid since Reagan and Nixon. Trump just stumbled on them, openly exposing them to the world because he’s such an extreme narcissist he MUST brag about anything he even thinks gives him power. We stopped it the first time, and had a chance to correct, but enough of the population has been drinking the Republican propaganda Kool-aid through Fix News since it’s inception. Fox News was started explicitly as a response to Nixon’s impeachment to provide an open partisan propaganda network for the Republican party. Nixon was going to be just fine until the media started educating the electorate, who demanded something be done. Congress was completely fine with Watergate until that point.

    • dhork@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Last time, I don’t think Trump was expecting to win. He ended up needing to scrape together a cabinet, and a bunch of those officials were old-school Republicans who chafed at all the crazy stuff he wanted to do.

      This time, the Heritage Foundation is preparing him, and the new Senate will rubber-stamp all his appointments. He will pick people who intend to “dismantle the administrative state”. Grover Norquist famously wanted to make Government so small he could drown it in fhe bathtub. He might get his wish.

      • halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        100% his plan the first time was to lose, talk a lot of shit and complain. Sell a bunch of merchandise and try it again over and over, grifting millions from idiots.

        You can see it immediately when he wins. Both his and Melania’s expressions when they get the news show that winning wasn’t the plan. It’s also why he immediately started talking about fraud. He didn’t have any prepared talking points for winning, they were all based on losing and using that to power his next scams.

    • EatATaco@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      I’m not as doomer as everyone else for the short term. It’s the long term I’m worried about. He might get 2 more scotus members, and he’s going to do everything in his power to undercut any attempt to tackle climate change. And that includes his scotus picks who will almost certainly declare any needed attention to address climate change as unconstitutional.

    • stoly@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Trump doesn’t actually think he’d be president the first time and never planned for it. They’ve had since then to prepare this time.

    • Boozilla@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Project 2025. They exposed their plan and now thry will implement it, and nithing can stop them.

    • aturtlesdream@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      There are less adults/competent/people with any morals in the room now. Swap John Kelly and some of the slightly more upstanding members of his inner circle for RFK Jr and some of the worst of the worst

  • Limonene@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Pretty fucked, but not as fucked as Ukraine, Palestine, Lebanon, or Taiwan.

    NATO will be fucked for a while if the US withdraws, but other NATO countries may ramp up military spending over time.

    This situation is a worldwide danger. The US is/was a world power, it has/had the largest national economy in the world, it has the largest military in the world.

    Previously, we could be concerned that democratic countries (including the US) weren’t putting enough pressure on authoritarian countries (like Russia, China, and North Korea) to improve. Now we have to worry that the US will actually become a fully authoritarian country, like Russia or China.

    • TranquilTurbulence@lemmy.zip
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      8 months ago

      If NATO fades into oblivion, that would be a great opportunity for European countries to make a news defense organization where a single country like Hungary or Turkey can’t play their political games.

      • philpo@feddit.org
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        8 months ago

        Technically the EU already is an defence organisation (Lisbon accords), even with a stronger mutual assistance clause than NATO. What is different is that there is no integrated command structure. But that is currently rapidly changing, Germany and the Netherlands already are fully integrated (more than NATO standards are), the Baltics are making great progress.

        There is at least a chance

      • HobbitFoot @thelemmy.club
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        8 months ago

        I expect that the EU is going to have to claim defence competencies to continue the Union’s defense. There are way too many small countries in NATO that can’t contribute meaningfully to a military beyond some basic battalions and the EU needs something more robust than France and Poland.

    • halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      On the bright side… the rest of the world is realizing that being reliant on one country for military power and maintaining stability was a terrible idea. The UN and NATO only have power if the countries are willing to enforce those decisions, and if the US doesn’t, there isn’t really a comparable backup option. The US military was always the elephant in the room keeping things generally less extreme just by its existence and not reacting impulsively.

  • Mechaguana@programming.dev
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    8 months ago

    Its hard to say cuz hes so unstable, but since his party has been hijacked by his sycophants and own the three branches, id guess some crazy shit. Maybe this will finally make the americans understand that voting has consequences, and that some minimal homework is needed to choose. But honestly no one on this planet has any faith in the average american so i predict ww3, mass incarceration with slavery (woops already has been happening, but for even more ppl), demonization of any minority, and a general loss of wealth that will be vacuumed by the upper class. Man I cant believe you guys let trump hire Elon fking Musk, hope you guys like living like one of his employees.