I believe we’re approaching the final 3-5 years of prevalent piracy for several reasons:
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Software: The difficulty of cracking and modifying software has significantly increased.
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Movies and TV Shows: Numerous streaming sites have been shut down or faced legal penalties.
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Adult Content: New releases are often removed within 1-5 weeks, and many older titles are no longer available on piracy platforms.
Given these trends, what might a post-piracy world entail?
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*Software: Idk, never really messed with pirating software, that’s how you become part of someone’s botnet.
*Movies and TV shows: Torrents and Usenet.
*Adult Content: Torrents and Usenet.
*Music: Slsk and yt-dlp.
The problem is not their absence from the P2P networks; rather, it’s the lack of seeders that renders them useless.
FOSS alternatives are out there for most software. I don’t really care for pirating photoshop when GIMP is free.
You can’t really kill P2P file sharing. If there is a need for creating a seed then someone will do it if the film/show is popular enough. Will probably be hosted through a DMCA non-compliant country.
You do you, but any way you slice it Gimp is inferior to PS except for cost. My shipmates and I use piracy to level that field. I’m all for FOSS for privacy, security, diversity, competition, and niche applications that have minimal profit potential. I’m still going to use the best tools available to me though be they FOSS or otherwise. Smell you later land-lubber.
Sure, I have no issues with someone cracking adobe photoshop. In my case, I’m not going to be doing any serious photoshopping, so GIMP and KdenLive are suitable alternatives for me, a hobbyist, that wants the minimum effort required to use the tool every now and again.
Even if there was a multinational effort to stop P2P file sharing I feel like other methods would just be adopted or become mainstream
Even then I still don’t think you could stop it. Maybe put a dent in it by taking down sites that host them, but all that’ll do really is push indexers onto .onion or i2p, or make it so you share the torrent files by word of mouth or matrix/telegram groups, or back to IRC.
A very good point. I had forgotten about I2P and I don’t know a ton about how hosting an onion site works
Actually, many old movies and shows are available on P2P networks, but the lack of seeders renders them inaccessible.
It depends on the movie, but I agree people do need to keep seeding more for those older, niche films.
I’ve also felt that the age of piracy is coming to an end and subsequently have begun hoarding a lifetime worth of content. I have 32 TB to fill and I’m halfway there. My taste is mostly older movies and shows, so I want to ensure that I have access to them forever.
I’ve struggled to find resources for adult content, though, so that’s a point of concern. I’m open to suggestions.
as software becomes more complicated and harder to modify the tools we use to pirate will catch up eventually
I think your examples apply only to a specific use case. In particular, for movies and TV shows — illegal streaming sites only account for one part of pirated material. I would assume many more simply download film/TV.
Can’t speak to the others but I’m fairly sure that pirates will find a way to pirate no matter the obstacles.
Post-piracy? There will only be darkweb piracy that untraceable and unkillable. Everything will be available anonymously through I2P and there will be a jump in its popularity. Every normie will know that in order to download the new blockbuster, all they have to do is install I2P, an eDonkey clone, QBittorent, or Popcorn Time (which will run on I2P’s anonymous torrents).
I pray that they shut down every single clearweb streaming and download website for us to finally all move to the darkweb.
Anti Commercial AI thingy
Did you ever actually use i2p?
It’s very very slow that I don’t think most people can do it.
Yeah, and I used it when it was even slower. With a seed-box, it’s fine. Just like in the 2000s when you had to download stuff overnight or wait a week. There are way fewer nodes in I2P than TOR nodes, but if it were to grow in popularity, speed wouldn’t be an issue anymore.
Anti Commercial AI thingy
Woah… I forgot about all that.
Waking up to the latest AAA that was started 36hrs ago at 75.8kb/s.
Of course it dropped to 0.9kb/s frequently, but it still downloaded.
[??Uh, you’re getting downvoted for asking a straight question? WTF lemmies??]
OP’s question is “given the above arbitrary and largely unfounded claims, how would a post-piracy world look?” which is… not straight. It’s not just based on anecdotal premises, it also demands answers that don’t call those into question.
OP’s premises may be not wrong on the first point, is in need of some realignment on the second, and I have no idea about the third.
The idea of a post-piracy world can still be envisioned and discussed; will it be full of FOSS and CC-BY-SA? Will it leaves us with only secondhand pulp comics while our roku devices blast 23h out of 24 of ads? Who knows?
Sure. But I’d drop the premises for that discussion. A post-privacy world is probably where convenience trumps everything. Everything is commercialized even more. Access to the internet isn’t free any more, options like selfhosting or uploading things are heavily restricted and each and every service requires you to show your ID card into the webcam and give them your phone number. All private is being sold and AI shows you ADs and propaganda like in the old scifi movies.
I mean we’re already half-way there. And I think it’s especially bad that all the people use closed services that require me to dox myself and give them my phone number if I want to participate. It’s just that we still have alternatives. It now needs politics to cut down access to the internet so only the big companies can host platforms and then force them to stop piracy. And cut the free flow of information and connections to other countries with other legislation. Reasons could be to protect intellectual property, stop crime (also like in the old dystopian movies) or “would somebody please think of the children”… These attempts to take away freedom happen regularly in politics. I think a post-privacy world would simultaneously be one without freedom. Either a scifi dystopia, a Cory Doctorow novel or like in the countries where they currently filter the internet successfully, which aren’t democratic countries.
I think I’m far more concerned with the loss of any privacy or freedom in such scenarios. Not being able to pirate things would be a minor inconvenience in such hypothetical worlds.
I strongly doubt that it’ll happen out of the reasons OP gave. They’re all technical in nature. And in the past we were always able to circumvent the technical ones. Countermeasures have also improved. I don’t see a reason why it’s different now. But I think society could change and affect this. And there are anti-democratic things happening currently…
You wonderfully deviated this conversation towards the real threats we are facing in the near future, and right now. That was very well said, thank you.
There is so much good, open source software that I haven’t had to pirate any software in years.
As far as movies and TV, the piracy won’t stop until the enshittification stops. Usenet and torrents won’t go anywhere.
This is so true regarding software. The FOSS apps present today are good enough with adequate features for daily day users like me - whether on Linux, Windows & especially Android (almost all my apps there are FOSS). I simply haven’t had the need to pirate software for a decade now.
Now games and media, that’s a whole different story. Coming from a third world country, I simply can’t fuel my gaming desires with a weak currency that even great services like steam hardly makes a difference. Therefore - sailing the high seas.
Torrenting on I2P especially won’t go anywhere. Even if you ban all VPNs/their legal protections
Open source software offers significant benefits, but there are still many positions that remain unfilled. Specifically, it falls short in areas such as professional software (like AutoCAD) and business management software (such as QuickBooks Desktop and ERP systems).
There’s a difference here that I describe as “pro” meaning specialized, complex software targeted at big businesses vs individual tools of the trade: Vectorworks is gonna get paid for happily by companies needing support and relying on it for critical output, while your next door young architect will run an outdated, cracked version of AutoCAD because it’s just too expensive - that kid could (and should) run Qcad.
Where I see pirated software surviving is also as a form of legacy support: if you run old hardware (i.e. 32bits), that’s where “pro” software is gonna suck & leave you dry, while torrents are still out there.
In gaming or media, cracking looks like a sport, I feel people just want to have fun blowing restrictions to pieces. It’s heartwarming!
Back to the 'tools of the trade" category, I am happy to pay a moderate price to support a talented dev (Isadora, D::Light) but get understandably annoyed at huge businesses practicing insufferable licensing schemes. I wish people start looking, and using then supporting more alternatives out there - but isn’t photoshop still crack-able because it helps it dominate the market where The Gimp would do if it was the standard?
More brazen crackdown of piracy, DNS-level or maybe even IP-level blocking. Complete overhaul of the infrastructure of the internet to make it more “corporate friendly.”
We got to remember that piracy, whose backbone is the bittorrent peer-to-peer network, exists because the current infrastructure of the internet allows users to open their ports and allow people from all over the world to request media from them. The internet infrastructure is controlled by the government, who is controlled by corporate overlords. As of right now, the government has (imperfectly) worked hard to retain the neutrality of the internet, but we might be losing this battle folks.
I’ve always advocated for i2p (https://geti2p.net/en/) because it allows us to be more resilient to the current infrastructure, with the added bonus of not needing a VPN to download stuff. It would be lovely to see you all at tracker2.postman.i2p :-) Yeah, speed might be an issue but it’ll get better once there are faster nodes in the network. I2p allows people to participate in the network even when behind a CGNAT and unable to forward their ports, as is the case with a lot of restrictive ISPs.
More detailed tech information to be found : https://geti2p.net/en/docs/how/tech-intro
I2p is too slow to be useful.
I think 1) and 2) have already been that way for at least 15 years. Software copy protection used to be very simplistic and is getting improved constantly. Also when I grew up games didn’t yet talk to servers and they do it for quite some time already. Every new physical video format gets a new copy protection mechanism… DVD, BluRay,… now streaming services with DRM… Illegal sites get shut down all the time.
The piracy scene also adapts, changes their methology. I’m pretty sure it’ll continue that way. I asked the same question 10 years ago and yet here we are.
The adult content is getting worse though. But i think mainly for the big and well known commercial streaming sites. Maybe there are still torrents of that around and pirating adult content will get similar to pirating a tv series.
As somebody who only got back into this recently (thanks Amazon, you sticking ads into Prime gave me the push I needed), it involves a lot of subscriptions and unavailable content.
Dumb.
Honestly my friends ask me tonnes of questions like this, including “what happens when AI takes over”, or “when everything mines your data”.
I don’t think people realise how close me as an IT person is to going and living in an off grid cabin in the woods.
Your friends will find you wherever you are and will continue asking you such questions. There is no escape.
To me, the term “post-piracy” means that piracy has taken over and is the norm; not that it’s been abolished. “After piracy has taken over…” I suspect wearing parrots on your shoulder would be much more in vogue.
Hahahaha
