• TheOubliette@lemmy.ml
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    5 months ago

    Why do you believe Russia thought it would control all of UA in 3 days? That doesn’t match their actual military strategy, their stated goals, or their diplomatic behavior.

    Instead, all signs point to Russia looking to force an early diplomatic agreement that secured the Donbas, with the Kiev push acting as both a way to split UA’s resources and place pressure for agreement.

    This also roughly lines up with the Western intervention to prevent a diplomatic agreement within days of the invasion.