• Sgt_choke_n_stroke@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    can’t use power to make everyone use electric cars need power for “AI”

    Nice job you jabroonies you did it you lost everything. This is the slow descent of America and it the boomers fault.

    My father in law is convinced theres some guy in a garage that’s gonna invent the next big invention, but hey guess what it takes MONEY that regular joe schmoes dont have!!

    • unconsequential@slrpnk.net
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      1 month ago

      Anyone who is working on the next big project in his garage is just signing his own death certificate. That’s the truth about the American energy industry and capitalism’s free markets make “healthy competition economy” myth. Traditional American capitalism is long dead.

    • tisktisk@piefed.social
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      1 month ago

      I’m not fully disagreeing with you, but blaming past generations is quite precisely how the boomers goofed as severely as they did. They played the blame game to the same tune we are currently, the only difference is they didn’t LARP and play pretend about it as shallowly as we do. If we want to be truly better we must first ensure that we don’t become exactly like the selfish demons we must vanquish. Otherwise evil persists merely in a different form.

      It’s got to stop here with us–we are the last generation, all of us. Identifying core issues is critical–but the secrets of the Egyptians were secrets even to themselves.

  • El_guapazo@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    AI is not the panacea they’re making it out to be. This article is attempting to influence readers to support American AI business models to ‘complete’ with China. Except that AI doesn’t make my job easier and is very bad for the environment.

    • lengau@midwest.social
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      1 month ago

      Given that part of my job is evaluating applicants’ ability to do the job, and given that LLMs are very good at answering the sort of questions many people ask in interviews, AI is making my job significantly harder.

      If someone could make a prompt that actually made an LLM write good code, I wouldn’t have nearly as much of an issue.

      • T156@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        It’s only made worse by the people who treat it like the Master Computer from Star Trek, claim that it can solve all the problems, and thus attempt to shove it into anything and everything.

        It’s baffling why my notepad needs to be hooked up to an LLM in the first place. It’s a notepad, for quick scribbling. If people want to write something serious in it, there are far better things for that.

    • SugarCatDestroyer@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      In my case, AI assistants are even confusing and annoying, but since they cannot be turned off, in my case I have to endure it.

  • JohnnyFlapHoleSeed@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Yeah. Kind of amazing that for all of their America first bullshit rhetoric, Republicans have consistently and routinely neglected our infrastructure to focus time and money on gays, immigrants, and giving out blowies to billionaires

  • jimmydoreisalefty@lemmy.world
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    20 days ago

    Archived Link and Generated Summary below:


    Alt. Link: https://archive.ph/rD2R4


    Generated Summary:

    A 600-word bullet point summary focusing on statistics, comparing China and the US’s energy infrastructure readiness for AI development.

    • China views energy availability for AI development as a “solved problem,” unlike the US where it’s a major bottleneck.
    • McKinsey projects a $6.7 trillion investment in new data center capacity globally (2025-2030) to meet AI’s energy demands.
    • US data center development is limited by power grid stress; some companies build their own power plants. Ohio households face at least a $15/month electricity bill increase due to data centers.
    • Goldman Sachs highlights AI’s power demand outpacing grid development cycles.
    • China annually adds more electricity demand than Germany’s total annual consumption. One Chinese province matches India’s total electricity supply.
    • China maintains an 80-100% reserve margin, meaning it has at least twice the needed capacity, allowing it to absorb AI data center demand.
    • The US typically operates with a 15% reserve margin or less, leading to warnings about grid strain during peak demand.
    • China’s energy planning is coordinated through long-term, technocratic policy, anticipating demand. The US relies heavily on private investment with shorter-term return expectations (3-5 years), unsuitable for long-term power projects (decade-long build and payoff).
    • China directs state funding to strategic sectors, accepting some project failures to ensure capacity when needed. The US lacks this public financing for long-term energy projects.
    • China’s pragmatic approach to renewables and coal use, focusing on efficiency and results, contrasts with the US’s politically charged debates.
    • Without significant changes in US energy infrastructure funding and development, China’s lead will widen.
  • CubitOom@infosec.pub
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    1 month ago

    The race to have the magic box that tells you lies that you want to hear while also consuming incredible amounts of resources…why is this a race again?

    • Womble@piefed.world
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      1 month ago

      Have you considered that if the worlds two superpowers are dead certain on this being an important area that they are willing to throw coutless billions of investment into, that they might know more than you do?

      • MonkderVierte@lemmy.zip
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        1 month ago

        Yeah. But then i remembered some history facts and how lobbying and vulture capital works and decided it unlikely.

        • Womble@piefed.world
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          1 month ago

          You think venture capital dictates to the politburo what its priorities are in China?

      • CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        Governments fail to implement incredibly obvious, easy, and proven solutions all the time so yeh they can be pretty dumb. Not to mention historical examples of governments (paricularly the UK when it was a world superpower) investing their entire economies in nigerian prince tier scams.

    • krunklom@lemmy.zip
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      1 month ago

      I really don’t understand this perspective. I truly don’t.

      You see a new technology with flaws and just assume that those flaws will always be there and the technology will never progress.

      Like. Do you honestly think this is the one technology that researchers are just going to say “it’s fine as-is, let’s just stop improving it”?

      You don’t understand the first thing about how it works but people like you are SO certain that the way it is now is how it will always be, and that because there are flaws developing it further is pointless.

      I just don’t get it.

      • sobchak@programming.dev
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        1 month ago

        There’s a lot of indication that LLMs are peaking. It’s taking exponentially more compute and data to get incremental improvements. A lot of people are saying OpenAI’s new model is a regression (I don’t know, I haven’t really played with the new model much). More foundational breakthroughs need to be made, and these kinds of breakthroughs are often the result of “eureka” moments which can’t be manifested by just throwing more money at the problem. It’s possible it will take decades before someone discovers a major breakthrough (or it could be tomorrow).

      • phutatorius@lemmy.zip
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        27 days ago

        You see a new technology with flaws and just assume that those flaws will always be there and the technology will never progress.

        Say you start with a prototype for a perpetual-motion machine. Then those flaws will always be there and the technology will never progress.

        It is intrinsic in some technologies tthat they’re a dead end. That doesn’t mean all of them are, but some are just worthless crap and throwing more good money after bad isn’t going to change that.

      • CubitOom@infosec.pub
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        1 month ago

        I’ve actually worked professionally in the field for a couple of years since it was interesting to me originally. I’ve built RAG architecture backends for self hosted FOSS LLMs, i’ve fine tuned LLMs with new data, And I’ve even took the opposite approach where I embraced the hallucinations as I thought it could be used for more creative tasks. (I think this area still warrants research). I also enjoy TTS and STT use cases and have FOSS models for those on most of my devices.

        I’ll admit that the term AI is extremly vauge. It’s like saying you study medicine, it’s a big field. But I keep coming to the conclusion that LLMs and predictive generative models in general simply do not work for the use cases that it’s being marketed for to consumers, CEOs, and Governments alike.

        This " AI race" happened because Deepseek was able to create a model that was more or less equivalent to OpenAI and Anthropic models. It should have been seen as a race between capitalism and open source since deep seek is one of the more open models at that performance level. But it became this weird nationalist talking point on both countries instead.

        There are a lot of things the US is actually in a race with China in. Many of which are things that would have immediate impact. Like renewable energy, international respect, healthcare advances, military sufficiency, human rights, food supplies, and afordible housing, just to name a few.

        The promise of AI is that it can somehow help in the above categories eventually, and that’s cool. But we don’t need AI to make improvements to them right now.

        I think AI is a giant distraction, while the the talk of nationalistic races is just being used for investor buy in.

        • phutatorius@lemmy.zip
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          27 days ago

          the the talk of nationalistic races is just being used for investor buy in

          Even more, it’s being used to milk the taxpayers for more subisidies that get translated (in a very lossy way) into more executive bonuses.

      • fodor@lemmy.zip
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        1 month ago

        Right. You don’t get it. You hear people talk about a new technology but actually they haven’t talked about anything, they are trying to sell you snake oil, but you convince yourself that you understand what they mean, and that it’s somehow meaningful.

        We could talk about the history of AI in software development, you know it goes back decades, and there are legitimate areas of research. But the bubble that people are riding right now, they are throwing LLMs at the general public and pretending those LLMs are good enough to replace large swaths of the current workforce, but that’s not going to happen because it won’t work, because that’s not how those models are designed. And then the snake oil salesman, they do classic bait and switch, and they start talking about expert systems and minor improvements to them, as if that is something new.

        But even if my prediction is wrong, what that actually means is that people shouldn’t need to work full-time jobs anymore.

        To be fair, if your argument is that some day AI research will be legitimate and no longer snake oil, then you could easily be right. But there’s no good reason to think that day is going to be in the next few years, rather than the next few decades or even the next few centuries.

    • MonkderVierte@lemmy.zip
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      1 month ago

      Because it was a race for simulating more deadly nukes till now. But that got silly, so they need something new to compare their pp.

    • Simulation6@sopuli.xyz
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      1 month ago

      The telling lies part is not good, but I think the dream of AI is a servant (or slave) with unlimited potential that can solve, until now, unsolvable problems. Cure for cancer, sure that will be $10k a pill. Eternal life? Sure that will be 1 million dollars a years for all eternity. Robot army to protect you? Top of the list.
      Question I have is, is the AI we see the same AI the teck bros see? Is there a public interface that is made to appear a little buffoonish so the masses can laugh it off, but the real interface is much much better?

      • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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        1 month ago

        Those things are being solved by other forms of AI, not LLMs. AlphaFold is about the most useful thing AI has done so far and it’s not a chatbot.

        We get access to entertainment AI, but there could be different forms of AI in use in medical science that have nothing to do with image or text generation.

        • grindemup@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          AlphaFold’s success seems to be largely linked to its use of attention-based architecture, similar to GPT, i.e. the architecture used by LLMs. Beyond that, they are both building on work in machine learning and statistics, so I don’t think they are nearly as independent as you are making out.

          • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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            1 month ago

            Yeah, but LLM innovation now is not in more clever architectures, but rather larger and larger models with more training data.

            I don’t hate the existence of LLMs but rather how they’re being shoehorned everywhere and how much power is being spent for just a little bit better results.

    • KumaSudosa@feddit.dk
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      1 month ago

      Just like next quarter’s finance numbers for USA will coincidentally just all the great stuff Trump has achieved!

    • vrighter@discuss.tchncs.de
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      1 month ago

      “good catch! That’s a very astute observation. Here’s a bunch of paragraphs explaining (incorrectly) how you’re wrong!”

  • Gorilladrums@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    I am very skeptical of any article that boldly claims that China is on the rise and the US is in decline. We’ve been hearing about this decades. People underestimate just how corrupt, dysfunctional, and incompetent the Chinese system is under the CCP. People think the US is worse only because the US is an open country. China’s isolation give it the illusion that it’s better, but in reality, it’s even worse. Every major Chinese achievement from their mass transit system to their big corporations to their economic growth to them pulling ahead technologically to so many more, all come with big asterisks attached that make them much more questionable.

    • sobchak@programming.dev
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      1 month ago

      China leads the world in scientific publication, even when only taking into account reputable journals and high-impact publications. There’s no doubt in my mind the US will decline further with the current attacks on science and education, and anti-intellectualism in general.

    • Surp@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Wow some real critical thinking on Lemmy for once. Thank you! I swear Lemmy is run by propaganda/tin foil hat wearers spewing so much bs rather than remembering were all suffering together at the expense of a few rich people world wide.

    • thatKamGuy@sh.itjust.works
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      1 month ago

      The US is very much on the decline, and thanks to the poorly thought out One Child policy- China has also likely past it’s apex. But like the US, it too can cause a lot of damage during its downfall.

      India, thanks to burgeoning population and rapid industrialisation is probably the most notable nation currently ‘on the rise’.

    • matlag@sh.itjust.works
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      1 month ago

      We’ve been hearing about this decades.

      Yes, you’ve been hearind that for decades, just like climate change: if you wait for an abrupt treshold with a clear before/after cut , you’re going to wait for a while.

      China has developed an advanced high speed trains network. You have no idea how much US looks backward on that.

      China still opens coal burning power plants, jut also a very large number of renewable and nuclear power plants. They’re serious about electrification.

      They took the lead in scientific publication.

      US needs to put up tariffs to protect its car makers from being wiped out by Chinese ones. Western car makers rely more and more on Chinese batteries suppliers.

      All the signs are there. You just need to ackowledge them.

      People underestimate just how corrupt, dysfunctional, and incompetent the Chinese system is under the CCP.

      As compared to what? In the US, corruption is legal, it’s called campaign donation and SuperPAC. At this stage, elections pick which pack of oligarchs will rule: GOP donators or Dems donators.

      If the system is so much better, where are the high speed trains, advanced power grid, decarbonation plan, school that can get high potentials to the top, decent healthcare system?

      Where are the fruits of this less corrupt dysfunctional and incompetent system?

      China’s isolation give it the illusion that it’s better, but in reality, it’s even worse.

      Alother delusion from local US news. China is not that isolated, they have developed deep relations with a number of countries in Africa and middle east, and they’re a privileged trade partner with many more. Worse even: with the current US policy of tariffs, several countries that were reluctant to have deeper ties with China are pushed in their arms.

      Every major Chinese achievement from their mass transit system to their big corporations to their economic growth to them pulling ahead technologically to so many more, all come with big asterisks attached that make them much more questionable.

      Meaning what? Their high speed trains are absolutely working. In large cities, half of the cars in the street are electric cars, majority from domestic brands and a few Tesla. They have very advanced and very cheap mass transit networks.

      As I was saying: it’s just like global warming: if you sit and wait claiming it’s not really happening and/or not that bad, you’re totally unprepared when disasters hit you.

      The only thing I will agree with you here is their emonomy is not half as great as they want to claim. The estate market has been in a free fall in all but the big 4 cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guandong, Shenzhen).

      But if the US wants to be the first power of the rest of the 21st century world, they need to wake up!

      • LePoisson@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        This is the dawn of the new Chinese century. I have no doubt in 20 more years China will be in an even stronger position as the USA continues to decline.

        We, the USA, could do all the stuff that would make us competitive. That would require more socialism, more taxing of billionaires, more spending in green energy, education, transportation, healthcare becoming affordable and an actual human right for all in our borders, a real plan to transition off fossil fuels and shore up our domestic energy production and electric grid.

        Idk more than that of course but that’s the elevator pitch.

        We won’t do it though because corrupt capitalism and the oligarchy.

        Maybe we will if at some point enough of us are struggling but we’re pretty fat and have plenty of entertainment to distract us even if we are being fucked. So … Yeah … Desperately hoping I’m wrong about most of my predictions, devastated as I keep seeing them come true.

        • phutatorius@lemmy.zip
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          27 days ago

          This is the dawn of the new Chinese century.

          Betting on a totalitarian kleptocracy saving the world is as unwise as betting in the 1980s that already overworked Japanese wage slaves could be overworked even further.

          • LePoisson@lemmy.world
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            27 days ago

            I didn’t say they were going to save the world, no more than the USA did or any nation state turned empire.

            I do think China will eclipse America when it comes to being in a position of strong global leadership and the hegemonic power on the world stage. The USA seems to be shirking our duties, reshaping and destroying our society’s moral fabric, racing towards worse and worse education results and hellbent on making sure our healthcare is broken and our people are fat and dumb.

            It’s not a winning recipe, even with a military that can dominate.

            Every country has its problems and its demons, China is no different and certainly their problems are complex and grand. As far as greater or lesser evils - I’d put the USA and China about on par for all the fucked up stuff we have done the past hundred years and keep doing now.

            I’d love to at least visit China sometime - honestly there’s so much fascinating history and getting to see a different approach to community building and infrastructure planning would be neat.

    • kunaltyagi@programming.dev
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      1 month ago

      Chinese infrastructure and manufacturing lead is real. You don’t need to believe any propaganda, just travel and observe.

      The asterisks are not about their usecase but political.

      • phutatorius@lemmy.zip
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        27 days ago

        Chinese infrastructure and manufacturing lead is real.

        And if you ignore the theory of comparative advantage, not only is it real, but it also matters. Otherwise, not.

        I also run a consistent payment deficit with my barber. Should that be corrected?

        • kunaltyagi@programming.dev
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          26 days ago

          No need to discuss defecit. That’s a totally unrelated item. My statement was purely about their infra and manufacturing lead in multiple sectors.

          Imagine you are a top student and some other student suddenly gets better marks than you in multiple subjects. You do need to introspect and see where you can improve (Or if you even care about those subjects).

          If you don’t care about infra and manufacturing, no need to sweat

    • Grazed@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Every major Chinese achievement from their mass transit system to their big corporations to their economic growth to them pulling ahead technologically to so many more, all come with big asterisks attached that make them much more questionable.

      Could you give one or two as examples?

    • exocortex@discuss.tchncs.de
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      1 month ago

      The big difference that I see is that they investes in people for a long while now. They did what they can so people can get a decent education. That’s also the reason why they don’t allow kids to use tiktok and so on - it’s hindering the next generation’s ability to think. They know that you need many intelligent people to drive whatever other innovation you want to have later. That’s why they’re pulling ahead so fast while we are collapsing. I am not even living in the US, but even here the education system is crumbling.

      The west has trapped itself in the thought of technology without people. The idea that few clever people can design perfect systems that drive everything for us. That we just need to support those few individuals to get maximum return. China is supporting the broad masses. It’s like creating a fertile soil.

      Who knows what all the asterisks are causing in the future. But at the moment it’s just no comparison. We’ve gone backwards, while they’re so far ahead we barely see them.

    • SmilingSolaris@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Brother it sounds like you underestimate what industrializing the largest population on earth looks like. It’s not just happening, it’s kinda inevitable.

    • HugeNerd@lemmy.ca
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      1 month ago

      Every major Chinese achievement from their mass transit system to their big corporations to their economic growth to them pulling ahead technologically to so many more

      I see.

    • thisorthatorwhatever@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      We heard the same about Japan.
      Soon we’ll be hearing about how Nigeria is spending oil money and growing its manufacturing.
      Wait till the U.S. finds out about Brazil and its ability to manufacturer.
      When the war is over between Ukraine and Russia, you’ll have two more countries restarting non-military production.
      South Africa is picking up everyday.
      If Europe ever manages to dig a tunnel between Spain and Morocco the Iberian peninsula and N.Africa would transform.

    • Duamerthrax@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      It’s also coming from “AI Experts”, so who cares what they have to say. The real question is, what’s their angle by saying this?

  • Optional@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    renowned expert in Chinese technology and founder of the media company Tech Buzz China, [Rui Ma]

    Is the person they’re talking about who is “stunned” at how super double awesome China is at powering AI.

    Ffffffffffffffuck this.

    • Psycoder@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Eastern European born American guy who is living at eastern Europe right now.

      I don’t know about china, but a lot of things in the country of my birth are a lot better than USA. Energy grid and energy pricing is one of those.

      I got back to country of my birth because my parent got dementia. I’m seriously considering permanently staying here. It has its drawbacks. But a lot of things are also a lot better.

      • Optional@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        Sorry to hear about the health reasons. Stay connected with people local, you’ll need help, as that’s super hard. Best wishes and be nice to yourself.

    • Dr. Moose@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      I like how Americans propaganda themselves - china doesnt even have to anything as Americans will gladly put them on a pedestal to spite themselves.

      Crazy how apparent this is on TikTok especially. People with LGTBQ flags are salivating about China while their flags are literally censored there

  • andallthat@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    So, a few monthe ago China launched Deepseek and the narrqtive was all “the fact they didn’t have access to the latest Nvidia GPUs forced them to get creative and develop a model that is more efficient and cheaper”.

    Now the US is getting behind on “AI wars” because China has more energy for huge data centers?

    How about the US get creativve and develop LLMs that are actually useful and can work without sucking Gigafucks of electricity?

      • 404UsernameNotFound@lemmy.wtf
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        1 month ago

        To be fair in 2024, China’s electricity supply was primarily based on coal and renewable energy sources, with coal accounting for the largest share at approximately 57.77 percent. Renewable energy, including hydropower, contributed around 20.27 percent. Nuclear energy played a relatively minor role at about 4.47 percent. So it’s mostly coal power plants in used for AI in China.

        • kunaltyagi@programming.dev
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          1 month ago

          Percentage dont make sense when the OP posted a out solar leadership. Raw numbers is where it’s at.

          The OP did not show where AI and solar intersect, because in power supply they do not. AI power infra is mostly reliant on hydro and coal

  • Jesus@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Gotta hand it to the fossil fuels industry, they got what they wanted and their propaganda worked.

    And now Americans have a janky grid, slower / more expensive transportation, and bigger power bills.