NOAA is forecasting a range of 17 to 25 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 4 to 7 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). Forecasters have a 70% confidence in these ranges.
That question is not worth pursuing. Remember you are using rational thought processes and you don’t have an emotional investment in the outcome. You’re talking to people who have made it part of their personality so when you attack that idea, they perceive that you are attacking them personally. They don’t understand the powerful indifference of science. Science doesn’t give a shit who is right, but they are too sensitive for that, they need a safe space.
And as a matter of fact after the damage is caused, the people who are currently paying to produce and distribute climate misinformation are most certainly positioned to profit from the resulting devastation in whatever way they can.
Spread disinformation that there is no change, meanwhile pivoting your investments around the coming change. Some people truly will say or do anything for power and influence.
Conservatives aren’t interested in pulling this thread, or as many conservatives have said… “If I had the choice of knowing the truth or staying conservative I’ll stay conservative.”