• starman2112@sh.itjust.works
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    10 months ago

    I live in a city of about 500,000

    Of course, I’m not dating anyone outside my acceptable range, which is about 20 years wide. Assuming an even distribution of people across all ages 1 to 100, this narrows it to 20%, or 100,000 people

    Of course I’m more interested in ladies than fellas, so I’m gonna cut it to 51% based on gender, so 51,000 potential matches

    We’re pretty evenly split politically, and imma be real I ain’t dating someone who’s gonna vote desantis, so let’s cut that in half again to 25,500

    About 10% of people share my dietary preferences, and it’s a strong enough moral conviction that it’s a dealbreaker. That number is higher in people who share my political leanings, though, so let’s consider it 20%, or 5,100.

    Now I just have to figure out the odds that the 1% of people that I would be interested in would be interested in me

    • thedevisinthedetails@programming.dev
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      10 months ago

      To add some more realism to these numbers:

      • Age is not evenly distributed at all.
      • A variety of your other factors likely have significant overlap with each other.
      • 1% mutual interest after already matching on many crucial factors is also exceptionally pessimistic estimating.