Not sure if this is the right place to post, but when the reddit protests were happening, I used Lemmy for a bit then decided to detox from “social media” for a while till now. Am I misinterpreting the activity here?

  • Lvxferre@mander.xyz
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    5 days ago

    The drop is slowing down considerably:

    Month Users Change from previous month in %
    Mar 53687 N/A N/A
    Apr 51298 -2389 -4.5%
    May 48832 -2466 -4.8%
    Jun 48472 -360 -0.74%
    Jul 47297 -1175 -2.4%
    Aug 47876 +579 +1.2%
    Sep 47227 -649 -1.4%
    Oct 45037 -2190 -4.6%
    Nov 44837 -200 -0.44%

    And given that March was a peak, I’m tempted to interpret it as newbies not sticking around. I think that it’ll plateau around 40k users, then provided that the conditions remain the same it won’t increase or decrease.

    That’s why I say that it’s stable - the core userbase will likely stick around.

    That said, these numbers may particularly be bad, e.g. if anyone left Lemmy and went to Mbin and/or PieFed, then I think they would not be counted in those charts?

    They wouldn’t be counted but I don’t think that this introduces a lot of inaccuracy. Mbin has 1.7k MAUs, and PieFed has 104.

    The number of instances dropping is far more concerning IMO. It means that smaller instances have a hard time becoming sustainable.