Everyone that made 538 worth reading was laid off. Even Nate Silver is gone, and he took his model with him. We’ll see how they do this election, but I’m not paying attention to them this election.
Votemaster and Zenger at electoralvote.com have a decent site. They take a ‘model of models’ approach and while their editorials are decidedly liberal, they put math and statistical analysis at the forefront and show their work.
They weren’t incorrect, they predicted Trump had a chance to win and he made that chance happen
What they did that was stupid was oversell what an odds advantage meant for Clinton and when caught in their own mistelling of how their own reports work proceeded to make themselves look like that nerd who can’t admit that he fucked up and blames it all on other people not understanding what he was “akshualay” saying.
His brain wasn’t eaten by a tape worm because it was most likely cysticercosis caused by the young form of the parasite that usually calcifies. The adult worms grow in the intestine, don’t have teeth, and absorb nutrients passively.
Well there is the convicted felon, rapist and wannabe dictatorial psychopath, there is the guy with the dead brainworms in his head, and there is the guy who you can vote for if you would like things to continue as they are.
Oh, you can also choose between reluctant and enthusiastic support of genocide, and breaking up strikes versus shooting at protestors. Clearly the US is the citadel of democracy.
Absolutely, but at a certain point people have got to accept that if the best strategic choice they have is still complicit with genocide, then they need to make that strategic choice (libs: I am saying vote for Biden, get the fuck off my back about it) and then work to build an alternative.
If they aren’t working against the system, and they get pissy every time someone mentions the genocide because it might hurt their better strategic choice, then they are doing genocide denial. Maybe they’re not saying the genocide isn’t happening, they’re just saying people shouldn’t keep bringing it up when it’s inconvenient for them. Denying that people should talk about genocide is a kind of genocide denial. If the better option can’t survive without genocide denial then maybe the problem isn’t the people talking about genocide but the better strategic option being complicit in genocide.
Maybe the problem is a political system that keeps putting genociders in power.
I don’t like Joe. I’m still voting for him because he’s not Donald Trump
Fun fact: 10% of Americans will vote for a guy that had his brain eaten by a worm. Just look at five thirty eight
Everyone that made 538 worth reading was laid off. Even Nate Silver is gone, and he took his model with him. We’ll see how they do this election, but I’m not paying attention to them this election.
Votemaster and Zenger at electoralvote.com have a decent site. They take a ‘model of models’ approach and while their editorials are decidedly liberal, they put math and statistical analysis at the forefront and show their work.
And even before that they were tragically wrong in 2016. Fuck polls.
No they weren’t. They gave trump a 33% chance of winning and successfully predicted how he could win.
They weren’t incorrect, they predicted Trump had a chance to win and he made that chance happen
What they did that was stupid was oversell what an odds advantage meant for Clinton and when caught in their own mistelling of how their own reports work proceeded to make themselves look like that nerd who can’t admit that he fucked up and blames it all on other people not understanding what he was “akshualay” saying.
Is that true that they do not continue to use Nate Silver’s mathematical model?
Nate owns the model, not 538. I hope they’re not using it.
His brain wasn’t eaten by a tape worm because it was most likely cysticercosis caused by the young form of the parasite that usually calcifies. The adult worms grow in the intestine, don’t have teeth, and absorb nutrients passively.
Well there is the convicted felon, rapist and wannabe dictatorial psychopath, there is the guy with the dead brainworms in his head, and there is the guy who you can vote for if you would like things to continue as they are.
Oh, you can also choose between reluctant and enthusiastic support of genocide, and breaking up strikes versus shooting at protestors. Clearly the US is the citadel of democracy.
Absolutely, but at a certain point people have got to accept that if the best strategic choice they have is still complicit with genocide, then they need to make that strategic choice (libs: I am saying vote for Biden, get the fuck off my back about it) and then work to build an alternative.
If they aren’t working against the system, and they get pissy every time someone mentions the genocide because it might hurt their better strategic choice, then they are doing genocide denial. Maybe they’re not saying the genocide isn’t happening, they’re just saying people shouldn’t keep bringing it up when it’s inconvenient for them. Denying that people should talk about genocide is a kind of genocide denial. If the better option can’t survive without genocide denial then maybe the problem isn’t the people talking about genocide but the better strategic option being complicit in genocide.
Maybe the problem is a political system that keeps putting genociders in power.