• NTSync coming in Kernel 6.11 for better Wine/Proton game performance and porting.
  • Wine-Wayland last 4/5 parts left to be merged before end of 2024
  • Wayland HDR/Game color protocol will be finished before end of 2024
  • Nvidia 555/560 will be out for a perfect no stutter Nvidia performance
  • KDE/Gnome reaching stability and usability with NO FKN ADS
  • VR being usable
  • More Wine development and more Games being ported
  • Better LibreOffice/Word compatibility
  • Windows 10 coming to EOL
  • Improved Linux simplicity and support
  • Web-native apps (Including Msft Office and Adobe)
  • .Net cross platform (in VSCode or Jetbrains Rider)

What else am I missing?

  • Plume (She/Her)@beehaw.org
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    6 months ago

    We say this every fucking year! Come on, this is getting ridiculous! Stop it! There will never be a year of the Linux desktop and if anything, this post shows why.

    So much of the Linux community is utterly detached from what really matters to most users and focus on things that 80% of people won’t ever understand, care about or even use.

    We focus on this and meanwhile, little quality of life features constantly get ignored when these are the real things that users will encounter and that will piss them off. They get treated as trivial. They get ignored in favor of other things.

    Somebody mentioned it here. I saw it and I didn’t need them to mention it to want to say it. It’s already something that’s pissing me off. On Fedora for my Framework Laptop there is no way to adjust the scrolling speed on my trackpad which is moronically fast.

    We are on the 40th release of Fedora, the 46th release of GNOME, and somehow this still isn’t baked in. I still have to go look around and use the fucking terminal to do something this basic. When some of them try Linux and will eventually push them to go back to Windows. And when users complain about this, what do we get? A bunch of elitists telling them to fuck off to go back to Windows, which I also saw as responses to this complaint about the trackpad.

    Listen, Linux is an amazing project and I love it. I daily drive it. I don’t use Windows anywhere in my life. I haven’t touched OS in like two years at the very least. So many things that we are celebrating as brand new things that are finally working properly are things that already work by default on Windows and have been for years. We’re not going to convince people by mentioning that, “oh, we fixed this thing that’s been working forever on Windows.” It works on Linux now. People need more than this.

    You want to know the sad truth? Here we go. We, collectively here, users of platform like Lemmy, are a vocal minority who are detached from the reality of most users. We care about ads, we care about privacy and so on, but the reality is most that people don’t. Most people won’t even notice that those things are there. For so many people, Windows is just the thing that stands between them and launching Chrome. It already works for them. There’s no reason for them to switch.

    We are all way too invested in what runs on our computers and we forget that we are just us. Most people are not like us. Privacy scandals stop us from using stuff like social media and so on, but it clearly hasn’t stopped most of the world.

    People heard about the shit that Meta was and is doing. Did people stop using Instagram? No, they didn’t. People know what Google is doing, how many of them switched to DuckDuckGo? A clinical moron turning the platform into a far-right haven didn’t stop most users from using Twitter.

    The API bullshit didn’t stop most users from using Reddit. Sure there were protest, but I guarantee you that 99% who took part in the blackout just went back to it after. A lot of us didn’t. We left. We’re here now. But we’re still a tiny minority.

    Ask a Firefox user did telling Chrome users that privacy was important ever worked? I’m sure you will get examples of it working but it’s a minority. Most people don’t give a shit and they use Chrome.

    I don’t have a solution. I’m sorry, I made this long-ass comment but I don’t have much else to say. I don’t have a good solution to this problem.

    • magguzu@lemmy.ml
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      6 months ago

      Lol and we’re forgetting the biggest QOL feature of all: actually coming installed with pre built computers.

      Chrome OS was the only one to ever make a dent.

      Without that this will always be a “power” user OS. People just want it to work.

    • morrowind@lemmy.ml
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      6 months ago

      Seriously. I think Linux users expend 10x the energy worrying about ads on Windows than actual windows users. If you’re used to seeing hundreds of ads / day on the web, why the hell would you care about an occasional onedrive popup.

      Re touchpads totally agree as well, I installed fedora kde on my mom’s abandoned laptop a couple weeks ago and it was atrocious. Limited gestures, no configurability, no smooth scroll, no scroll momentum except in apps that implement it manually, scrolling speeds totally off. I managed to fix most of these, but regular people can’t be expected to.

      Battery life, for another is unpredictable and quite bad. Most people I’ve talked to seem to assume performant/light = efficient when it comes to Linux. This is not the case. Once again, solutions exist, but they are not accessible to a regular person.

  • nucleative@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    Anybody seriously believing this has a misunderstanding of how little people care about what OS they use and how much they care that it works the way they expect.

  • darkphotonstudio@beehaw.org
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    6 months ago

    I’d argue that it really doesn’t matter. Linux has taken over everything else. And the more MS fucks up, the more likely people will look for alternatives. I do believe many will go to Mac, but Linux is clearly picking up some of the slack as well. Microsoft wouldn’t be the first tech company to take a tumble. Never say never.

  • ZILtoid1991@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago
    • A non-AI generated image - it communicates to artists that they’re not welcome, while Linux is getting there in support for artists (Krita, LMMS, etc.).
    • A debugger with a GUI - no, I don’t care about writing shell scripts to automate debugging.
    • Server-side decorations on Gnome - just add an option for it FFS!
    • A way to easily recover from a crash during an update - I was lucky that I could do it from the command line, but my Ubuntu still likes to crash the VM host if I open Nautilus.
    • Drivers.
    • Linux devs not throwing a temper tantrum for a driver not being GPL. I know, that would be the ideal, but corporations gonna corporate.

    Also web-native apps are a web 2.0 mistake, and lead to the abandonment of many portable GUI frameworks in favor of the “what if your pops didn’t had to install Word Processor, and instead just had to type wordprocessor.com into his browser” idea of some techbro. Do you know why your ÜBERGAMERMOUSE Ultrautility is 250+MB? Because they’re all Electron apps!

  • AggressivelyPassive@feddit.de
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    6 months ago

    What else am I missing?

    The fact that 90% of people don’t give a shit about ads, privacy or their operating system in general. They want a machine to open a browser, that’s it. If Windows comes pre-installed, they’ll use Windows.

    The only realistic chance we’ve got is that MS shoots itself in the foot once more by all that Recall crap and businesses drop Windows. But that’s a long shot.

    • acockworkorange@mander.xyz
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      6 months ago

      Business versions of Windows either won’t have recall or the domain controllers will be able to enforce a rule against it.

    • iopq@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      Yes, but there are things that absolutely drove be crazy in Windows. When you switch to Korean, it would default to Latin characters, and you have to switch to Korean characters. Which is fine if you always use the Korean layout and just toggle between Latin and Korean characters, like most Koreans.

      But I am actually learning Korean and I speak more than one other language. When I switch to Chinese I expect it to type in Chinese. When I switch to Korean, I expect it to type in Korean.

      The most bullshit thing about Windows is if the default behavior doesn’t suit you, there’s no way to change it. You’re stuck with how Windows works because it’s batteries included.

    • 𝘋𝘪𝘳𝘬@lemmy.ml
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      6 months ago

      Businesses that already use Windows with all of the heavily integrated business-related stuff from Microsoft (AD, Exchange, SharePoint, Teams, Outlook, etc.) won’t change that just because a feature that most likely can be disabled via GPO.

    • saltesc@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      It’s true. I only use applications. The OS is a thing in the background that needs to get setup fast so I click an application and now I’m using my computer. I spend more time in my BIOS than I do the back of my OS.

      Whichever OS does that best will always be the most popular.

    • sic_semper_tyrannis@lemmy.today
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      6 months ago

      I find most people don’t know of the alternatives but they are open to change as they are unhappy with current options that they are aware of. I’ve talked with a few people that were surprisingly open to to trying Linux. They didn’t know how easy it is to use and install but jumped on the opportunity as they were unhappy with Windows.

      • halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world
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        6 months ago

        Until something breaks, or doesn’t have a GUI. The average user seeing a terminal means they will abandon it. And even if they are willing to handle a terminal to fix an issue, the toxic community members that flock to be the first to respond condescendingly to new users will turn them away permanently.

        Linux communities have some of the most helpful users, but they also have people worse than a League of Legends game. And all it takes is one of them to turn the average person away forever.

      • thingsiplay@beehaw.org
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        6 months ago

        Changing to Linux means, people…:

        • need to have an understanding of operating systems, so they can think about alternatives
        • need to be aware of the actual alternative
        • need to be willing to learn something new
        • need to be willing to leave some applications or games behind
        • need to choose a Linux distribution
        • need the technical ability and understanding to actually download, flash and boot from boot system, install it and setup initial, such as root password and such

        These are basic and trivial stuff for us, but most normies don’t have this understanding and interest to go this far. And then it depends if they are happy and stay. Even if every PC manufacturer and distributor would offere the same PC with Windows and Linux, most would just choose Windows (probably). This is the current reality.

        • teawrecks@sopuli.xyz
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          6 months ago

          Something I’ve never checked for but…are there any linux installers that run from within windows? Shrink the windows partition, create a linux partition, populate it, install grub, and tell the user to reboot and choose linux? I think general lack of good ext4 fs support in windows might make things difficult, but you don’t actually need to do that part from within windows. There could be a second installer that’s triggered the first time they boot from grub.

          I feel like a well supported installer like that would dramatically lower the barrier to entry. It could make dual booting windows a breeze for anyone who knows how to run an installer and reboot, which is what people actually want.

          • swab148@startrek.website
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            6 months ago

            Q4OS has an installer like that, but you have to change the boot order after installation, I don’t think it uses grub.

          • thingsiplay@beehaw.org
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            6 months ago

            This sounds awesome idea. Not sure if there is a technical reason why this could not be done. On the other hand, Windows already has WSL (Windows Subsystem for Linux, is it still called like that?). All antivirus programs would probably go nuts. Windows itself is a restricted system and some things need to be done before booting into Windows. I assume if it was possible, then this would have been done before. At least I never heard about this. The best way is to have a preinstalled Linux on hardware.

        • overload@sopuli.xyz
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          6 months ago

          Such a hard agree. My wife won’t even let me install Linux, which takes out the more technical aspects of the above.

          She’s just comfortable on Windows. Most people don’t want to learn something new and even fewer actually care about privacy.

          Edit: Us Linux users assume that if Windows gets bad enough people will switch to Linux, when we all should face facts that normies will much sooner switch to Mac.

            • overload@sopuli.xyz
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              6 months ago

              Sure, for the mac pro line with specs that us nerds care about.

              I think some of those M1 mac airs are really affordable now though. For casual use it would be a good device for a tech illiterate person.

              • realbadat@programming.dev
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                6 months ago

                Or a mini.

                I have an M2 mini I use for iOS builds, cheap enough for me to buy and stick in the rack to use for remote builds. I got that a year ago for $600ish iirc.

                • overload@sopuli.xyz
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                  6 months ago

                  Yeah man. Apple still screws people when it comes to ram and storage options of course, but the base products are actually pretty good for the money.

        • Jesus_666@feddit.de
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          6 months ago

          Mostly yes but there’s one other option that simplifies the whole thing: Chromebooks. They’re actually pretty decent for someone who doesn’t need much beyond a browser, a mail client, and a basic office suite.

          Sure, they’re tied to Google with all that entails but they can be a real option for someone like a senior who relies on relatives for tech support.

      • AggressivelyPassive@feddit.de
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        6 months ago

        … And then something happens and they want you to install Windows again.

        As much as I like Linux, compared to Windows and Mac OS it’s high maintenance. Once in a while, things will bork themselves. And you need to have at least a rough understanding of what’s happening to fix it.

        Also (and that’s not a Linux problem per se) people seem to think if Windows breaks, MS or they themselves are at fault, if Linux breaks, that weird nerd and his hacker stuff are at fault.

        • Fliegenpilzgünni@slrpnk.net
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          6 months ago

          I have to disagree, at least in my experience.
          Windows causes more problems, both for my mum and myself.

          Her only purpose of a PC is basically to open a web browser, answer some mails and plug in a USB from time to time. For her, Mint never made one single problem, except when the hard drive failed.
          She really liked the “boringness” and the old Windows charme.

          And for me, Linux never made any big troubles in general. When I used Tumbleweed, there were a few papercuts (e.g. graphical glitches, program freezes, etc.) due to the bleeding edge, but nothing major.
          And since I use Fedora Atomic, I completely forget that I use an OS in general. I never have to update anything, I can’t break my stuff, etc…
          It’s the most “boring” and user friendly OS I’ve used, even more than MacOS and Windows. Only Android/ iOS are better in that regard.

          But I’ve never seen my OS just borking itself. If that should ever happen, I can easily roll back in a second and it will work again.

          And you need to have at least a rough understanding of what’s happening to fix it.

          If you can fix Windows (which made way more problems after updates for me) then fixing Linux is way easier. And if you’re an average person, then you go to a local repair shop and say “My PC broke” and they reinstall Windows for you.

          • AggressivelyPassive@feddit.de
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            6 months ago

            Without fail, every Linux installation I had destroyed itself after a while.

            Be it a full boot partition, some weird driver compatibility, etc, etc.

            My Windows installations (granted, all work laptops) never destroyed themselves. Yes, some bugs here and there, but it worked well enough for home usage. You can’t discount that.

            • Richard@lemmy.world
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              6 months ago

              Okay, but understand that from for example my point of view, your perception appears really skewed because my GNU/Linux installations have never “destroyed [themselves] after a while”. Respectfully, I think that you project your Linux failures unto the entire ecosystem, based on issues that were unique to you.

            • 0x0@programming.dev
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              6 months ago

              Without fail, every Linux installation I had destroyed itself after a while.

              User-induced trauma, poor distros.

              • Honytawk@lemmy.zip
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                6 months ago

                The fact those poor distros exist means yet another hurdle for the average user to switch to Linux

            • Thorned_Rose@kbin.social
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              6 months ago

              I’ve got the complete opposite to you. I’m in a household of 3 gaming desktops and 3 laptops, plus family who need help. I’ve been daily driving Linux for about a decade now and keep duel boot around just for Adobe products.

              On all these machines, Linux hs been rock solid and never had issues that wasn’t user caused. Windows on the other hand drives me crazy with how much it fucks out. I have next to no control over it. It updates when it wants. I have no control over what’s updated. I hate the gods damn ads (and that’s on Windows 10) despite running de-crappifying software. I hate how many errors it has and how long it takes t troubleshoot them. I hate that if the system borks itself enough, it’s faster and less insanity inducing to just reinstall the whole os than try and fix it. I hate that Windows just gets progressively slower and laggier over time whereas my 6 year running Arch install was as fast as the day I installed it.

  • GustavoM@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    Nah, the average “just werks” user won’t leave Windows even if it took money out of its credit card.

  • LeFantome@programming.dev
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    6 months ago

    It is a good list ( from an “alternative to Windows” point of view ). In particular, you make a good case for the gaming side of things.

    Unfortunately, even if that is all Linux needs, the hordes take time to arrive. The big impact of changes this year will be seen in the migration numbers 3 years from now. The biggest opportunity is probably the Windows 10 EOL and that is not until the end of next year. By then, many gamers will have Windows 11 capable hardware.

    I do think that gamers and devs are the two groups likely to lead the charge on the next wave of Linux adoption. .NET dev in particular already has a lot of momentum on Linux with the transition from desktop to cloud and the primacy of Linux in container based workflows. Things are not quite there yet for .NET mobile dev on Linux. I bet most .NET devs that have left Windows are using Macs these days though. That said, that means they are already using tooling quite easily migrated to Linux including bath Rider and VS Code as you say. In the cloud, .NET must be “deployed” more to Linux than to Windows by now.

    That last point is the most important I think. Windows is no longer the most important platform for Microsoft—Azure is. Microsoft is quite happy to let you use Linux on Azure. In fact, Azure pipelines and .NET itself are faster on Linux at this point. It is still “developers, developers, developers” for Microsoft but it is now more cloud than desktop. That changes the role of Windows at Microsoft.

    I think it is perhaps less what we think about Windows and more about what Microsoft thinks about Windows that matters.

    The other crown jewel is Office. Office 365 is a subscription. It is increasingly a “cloud” offering as well. Soon, they will not care about Windows as a delivery vehicle for Office either.

    As Windows starts to matter less strategically, the question will increasingly be how to monetize the Windows user base more heavily. That is more ads, more data mining, more AI, and an increasingly crap experience. More and more, Windows Product Managers will be rewarded for their short-term gains and incremental revenue. Stewardship of the platform will move further and further into the background.

    That is how Linux will win.

    It won’t be this year though.

  • iegod@lemm.ee
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    6 months ago

    When windows 10 stops working is the better chance. Even then, not convinced it’ll be year of Linux.

    • Captain Aggravated@sh.itjust.works
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      6 months ago

      I once ran a poll on Reddit asking why people switched to Linux. More people responded it was because Microsoft launched a new hated version of Windows than Microsoft discontinued an old beloved version. ie more people switched because Win 8 came out than Win 7 died.

      • Zink@programming.dev
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        6 months ago

        I get the sense that both of those two things are somewhat true here. They’re getting rid of 10, and people want to avoid 11.

        • 8Bitz0@discuss.tchncs.de
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          6 months ago

          I’m pretty sure 95% of people don’t even know what Windows is. It’s just part of the computer to them.

      • toastal@lemmy.ml
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        6 months ago

        I dual-booted for a while & was on Microsoft Windows 7. I was using it less & less–usually just to play specific game. When MS Windows 10 was announced with an all new set of privacy invasive features on by default & 7 was going to be phased out, & as I got older with less time I wanted to spend with games, I decided to completely pull the plug on Microsoft & saying that there were enough games out there that worked on Linux (Proton infancy) that if Linux support wasn’t out of the box, I would just choose something else. The same will happen with some folks as 10 support is pulled–where if I thought 10 was too privacy-invasive, 11 + Recall is a nightmare.

  • nexussapphire@lemm.ee
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    6 months ago

    There one glaring issue. Most people don’t really even know what an operating system is and some of the people I talk to think Linux is a manufacture.

    I literally bring up Linux to my friend when they are having trouble getting windows to work and they say I think I have a linux. They mean it’s a Lenovo but they seem pretty confused about the idea of installing a different OS on their machine. This isn’t just older people but 20 something year olds (about my age).

    It’s funny to me but I try to be patient and help them with their problems anyway.

  • youmaynotknow@lemmy.ml
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    6 months ago

    I hope you’re right. What I did was let my kids use Linux, whatever distro they wanted, and they have used Windows only at school. I think this is the way to do it, expose this growing generation to good software and keep them away from the enahitified ones, while explaining the importance and joy of privacy.

    If we all do that with our kids, the next generation will have less sheep following all the commercial crap out there.

    • governorkeagan@lemdro.id
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      6 months ago

      I’m planning on doing the same thing. I only have Linux installed at home. If they really need Windows for something I could always spin up a VM.

  • mastod0n@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    You know what gets ppl to use Linux? 100% Software compatibility out of the box and OEM who preinstall Linux distros.

    Barely anyone outside the bubble oft techies and enthusiasts cares. You have to BRING it to the users. For most oft them comfort is king after all.